Following Chelsea, group stage leaders Vitória Guimarães and Fiorentina are both aiming to secure a play-off spot in the European competition. While the less star-studded Portuguese side could pose a challenge to the Italians, Fiorentina are expected to play an attacking brand of football—it is within their grasp to become the tournament's top scorers.
Vitória's Guimarães high placement in the current Conference League campaign can be attributed to a favourable schedule—of the top 15 teams, only Djurgården (3:1) have played against Guimarães. In their last round, they comfortably defeated struggling St. Gallen (4:1), despite the Swiss side managing a respectable 1.38 xG from 10 shots. In the Primeira Liga, Vitória's Guimarães have shown vulnerabilities, particularly in matches against Benfica (0:1) and Rio Ave (2:2).
Fiorentina's high-intensity football led to a few slip-ups in recent weeks, though they remain among the top in Serie A and the Conference League. Their 7:0 victory over LASK was the most impressive of the current campaign, generating 4.32 xG with 23 shots, and featuring Riccardo Sottil and Albert Gudmundsson combining for 2 goals and 3 assists.
In the head-to-head encounter, Vitória Guimarães will likely concede possession to Fiorentina, whose attacking unit will create opportunities. We'll back the Italian side with a reliable handicap as they seek a third consecutive appearance in the Conference League final.
